Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.460042 0.538908 0.625037 0.725795 0.840134 0.965545 1.113193
2025-01-12 0.319800 0.421513 0.543735 0.700121 0.893479 1.123196 1.415086
2025-01-19 0.238575 0.348246 0.491191 0.688171 0.949134 1.279230 1.723955
2025-01-26 0.192368 0.306778 0.466619 0.700933 1.029346 1.466111 2.082231
2025-02-02 0.157981 0.273104 0.444297 0.709307 1.099285 1.640504 2.433963
2025-02-09 0.131112 0.244431 0.422946 0.713299 1.159555 1.802534 2.777266
2025-02-16 0.113282 0.226242 0.413682 0.732210 1.240712 1.997438 3.177831
2025-02-23 0.096735 0.206710 0.398633 0.738736 1.301476 2.164540 3.546781
2025-03-02 0.078298 0.179830 0.366699 0.712576 1.306267 2.245041 3.788893
2025-03-09 0.069478 0.169596 0.362225 0.731763 1.385277 2.444359 4.223261
2025-03-16 0.060971 0.158215 0.353744 0.742252 1.449489 2.623034 4.634358
2025-03-23 0.056726 0.155128 0.360534 0.780884 1.564725 2.890981 5.201931
2025-03-30 0.048460 0.141478 0.344823 0.776185 1.604264 3.038450 5.587100
2025-04-06 0.040857 0.127680 0.326710 0.764611 1.630117 3.164347 5.944309
2025-04-13 0.034749 0.116129 0.311513 0.756742 1.661489 3.300811 6.325815
2025-04-20 0.031076 0.110177 0.307889 0.772229 1.738383 3.521702 6.863206
2025-04-27 0.027528 0.103682 0.301944 0.781863 1.804133 3.725803 7.381010
2025-05-04 0.024179 0.096888 0.294163 0.786375 1.859550 3.913583 7.878551
2025-05-11 0.022010 0.093217 0.293599 0.806986 1.949190 4.169566 8.510158
2025-05-18 0.019512 0.087772 0.287561 0.814096 2.010881 4.375669 9.060155
2025-05-25 0.016032 0.077802 0.267650 0.785669 1.994180 4.429799 9.332058
2025-06-01 0.014686 0.075246 0.267910 0.806526 2.085984 4.699916 10.018814
2025-06-08 0.013190 0.071647 0.264578 0.817925 2.157472 4.933237 10.645779